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FG
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
BC

Forest Green
2 - 2
Bristol City

Forest Green win 6-5 on penalties
Matt (11'), Hendry (90+6')
Godwin-Malife (45'), Sweeney (51'), Adams (89')
FT
(aet)
Janneh (39', 67')
Wells (44'), Simpson (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%).

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawBristol City
43.2%26.39%30.41%
Both teams to score 51.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92%53.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34%74.66%
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62%24.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.21%58.79%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01%31.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.55%68.45%
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 43.19%
    Bristol City 30.41%
    Draw 26.38%
Forest Green RoversDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 7.77%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.19%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.8%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.41%

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