Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
39.09%	29.33%	31.57%

Both teams to score 43.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.68%

63.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.3%

82.69%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49%

31.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1%

67.9%

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.44%

36.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.65%

73.34%

Score Analysis

Newport County 39.09%

Forest Green Rovers 31.57%

Draw 29.32%

Newport County	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 13.3% 2-1 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.95% Total : 39.09%	1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.32%	0-1 @ 11.59% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.89% Total : 31.57%