As Ukraine have conceded just two goals in their last eight competitive matches - both against Italy last week - they should prove a tough nut to crack for favourites France: it may be a one-goal game, decided by either a moment of magic or madness.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-19s win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Ukraine Under-19s had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-19s win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Ukraine Under-19s win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for France Under-19s in this match.
