SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ukraine Under-19s | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | France Under-19s | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| 3 | England Under-19s | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey Under-19s | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal Under-19s | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy Under-19s | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Poland Under-19s | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Malta Under-19s | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Ukraine Under-19s had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Ukraine Under-19s win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ukraine Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
19.04% ( -6.2) | 21.29% ( -1.64) | 59.66% ( 7.83) |
| Both teams to score 55.72% ( -3.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.39% ( -0.08) | 41.61% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.99% ( -0.08) | 64.01% ( 0.07) |
| Ukraine Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.48% ( -5.68) | 35.52% ( 5.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.71% ( -6.36) | 72.28% ( 6.34) |
| Italy Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% ( 2.52) | 13.58% ( -2.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.31% ( 4.82) | 40.69% ( -4.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ukraine Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
| 2-1 @ 5.16% ( -1.26) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.82)2-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.93)3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.81)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.58)Other @ 2.75% Total : 19.04% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.71)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.85)0-2 @ 9.61% ( 1.6)1-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.73)0-3 @ 6.4% ( 1.52)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.62)0-4 @ 3.19% ( 0.97)2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.08)1-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.34)0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.46)Other @ 3.21% Total : 59.66% |
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