European Under-19s Championship | Semi-Finals
Jul 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Windsor Park
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tsukanov (26'), Synchuk (55')
We said: France Under-19s 1-0 Ukraine Under-19s
As Ukraine have conceded just two goals in their last eight competitive matches - both against Italy last week - they should prove a tough nut to crack for favourites France: it may be a one-goal game, decided by either a moment of magic or madness.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-19s win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Ukraine Under-19s had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-19s win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Ukraine Under-19s win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for France Under-19s in this match.
| Result |
| France Under-19s | Draw | Ukraine Under-19s |
| 54.58% | 25.14% | 20.28% |
| Both teams to score 45.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
France Under-19s 54.57%
Ukraine Under-19s 20.28%
Draw 25.14%
| France Under-19s | Draw | Ukraine Under-19s |
1-0 @ 13.73%
2-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 5.78%
3-1 @ 4.97%
4-0 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 54.57%
| 1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 8.64%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.14%
| 0-1 @ 7.43%
1-2 @ 5.07%
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.15%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 20.28%
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