Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
We said: France Under-23s 2-0 USA Under-23s
A France and USA one-two may very well come to fruition in Group A further down the line, but there should only be one clear winner in Wednesday's opening scrap.
While Henry is blessed with clinical and well-versed attackers, Les Bleus possess highly-rated young stars in all thirds of the field and should live up to the pre-tournament hype in Marseille.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for USA Under-23s had a probability of 11.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a USA Under-23s win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Under-23s would win this match.
| Result |
| France Under-23s | Draw | USA Under-23s |
71.12% ( 0.07) | 17.53% ( -0.1) | 11.34% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.21% ( 0.46) |
| 59.52% ( 0.56) | 40.48% ( -0.56) |
| 37.14% ( 0.57) | 62.85% ( -0.57) |
| 89.87% ( 0.16) | 10.12% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.69% ( 0.38) | 33.31% ( -0.38) |
| 54.75% ( 0.42) | 45.24% ( -0.42) |
