Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Colombia Women had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Colombia Women win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that France Women would win this match.
-1.14) 
0.3) 
