Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Aug 3, 2023 at 11am UK
HBF Park
We said: Morocco Women 1-2 Colombia Women
After losing 6-0 to Germany in their opening game, Morocco would have restored some confidence with their narrow win over South Korea.
While they will have aspirations of claiming consecutive victories, we think that the Lionesses of Atlas will be edged out by a Colombian side that are looking to clinch top spot in Group H.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia Women win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Morocco Women had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Morocco Women win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result |
Morocco Women | Draw | Colombia Women |
26.6% ( 0.28) | 22.82% ( 0) | 50.58% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 60.62% ( 0.26) |
60.19% ( 0.23) | 39.81% ( -0.23) |
37.84% ( 0.24) | 62.16% ( -0.24) |
72.1% ( 0.32) | 27.9% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.49% ( 0.41) | 63.51% ( -0.41) |
84.08% ( -0.01) | 15.92% ( 0.02) |