Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 30, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Allianz Stadium
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lizeth Caicedo Alegria (52'), Vanegas Catano (90+7')
Bedoya Durango (62'), Carolina Ospina Garcia (79'), Perez Jaramillo (88')
We said: Germany Women 3-1 Colombia Women
With Germany's defence affected by injuries, we think that Colombia could cause their opponents one or two problems, but we believe that the Euro 2022 finalists have enough quality in the final third to get the goals required to claim all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Women win with a probability of 91.05%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Colombia Women had a probability of 2.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.49%) and 2-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.12%), while for a Colombia Women win it was 0-1 (0.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Germany Women | Draw | Colombia Women |
91.05% ( 0.07) | 6.57% ( -0.04) | 2.38% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 38.29% ( -0.04) |
| 76.77% ( 0.11) | 23.23% ( -0.12) |
| 57.43% ( 0.15) | 42.57% ( -0.15) |
| 97.09% ( 0.03) | 2.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 86.81% ( 0.09) | 13.18% ( -0.09) |
| 39.43% ( -0.05) | 60.57% ( 0.05) |
