SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fredrikstad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fredrikstad | Draw | Lillestrom |
41.87% ( -1.37) | 24.85% ( 0.21) | 33.28% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.45% ( -0.57) | 45.55% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.13% ( -0.55) | 67.88% ( 0.55) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( -0.87) | 21.76% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.06% ( -1.35) | 54.94% ( 1.35) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( 0.44) | 26.35% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.51% ( 0.58) | 61.49% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fredrikstad | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.87% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.28% |
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