SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Viking FK |
37.3% ( -0.18) | 23.36% ( 0.02) | 39.33% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 63.9% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.29% ( -0.1) | 37.71% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.05% ( -0.11) | 59.95% ( 0.11) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -0.13) | 20.54% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( -0.21) | 53.04% ( 0.21) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% ( 0.03) | 19.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.49% ( 0.05) | 51.51% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Viking FK |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 37.3% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 39.33% |
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