SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Altrincham |
34.63% ( 0.41) | 24.15% ( 0.13) | 41.21% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 60.5% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.03% ( -0.55) | 41.96% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.63% ( -0.55) | 64.37% ( 0.55) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( -0.03) | 23.86% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.94% ( -0.03) | 58.05% ( 0.03) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -0.48) | 20.53% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( -0.77) | 53.04% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.63% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.88% Total : 41.21% |
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