Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
44.11% ( 0.04) | 24.83% ( -0.38) | 31.05% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 56.79% ( 1.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.74% ( 1.79) | 46.25% ( -1.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.45% ( 1.66) | 68.55% ( -1.66) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% ( 0.77) | 21.02% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% ( 1.18) | 53.81% ( -1.18) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% ( 1.12) | 28.1% ( -1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% ( 1.4) | 63.77% ( -1.4) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.63% Total : 44.11% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.05% |
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