Hartlepool have reason to feel that they are the marginal favourites for this contest. Nevertheless, the home side showed their resolve against a higher-ranked North-East opponent at the weekend, something that leads us to predict a hard-fought share of the spoils here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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