SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Rochdale |
30.21% ( 0.05) | 23.57% ( 0.06) | 46.21% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.73% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.12% ( -0.27) | 40.88% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.73% ( -0.28) | 63.26% ( 0.28) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( -0.1) | 25.98% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% ( -0.14) | 60.99% ( 0.14) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( -0.15) | 17.96% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.2% ( -0.26) | 48.79% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.21% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.73% Total : 46.21% |
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