SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Eastleigh |
38.5% ( -2.07) | 24.91% ( -0.13) | 36.6% ( 2.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% ( 0.91) | 45.25% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.41% ( 0.87) | 67.59% ( -0.87) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( -0.64) | 23.29% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.78% ( -0.94) | 57.22% ( 0.95) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( 1.68) | 24.3% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% ( 2.32) | 58.67% ( -2.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.49)2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.5% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.27)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.18)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.14)Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.6% |
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