SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Fylde win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Fylde |
51.6% ( 0.38) | 24.62% ( 0.01) | 23.77% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( -0.42) | 50.24% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( -0.38) | 72.19% ( 0.38) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.54% ( -0.01) | 19.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.69% ( -0.02) | 51.3% ( 0.02) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% ( -0.58) | 35.79% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.43% ( -0.61) | 72.56% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.23% 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.92% Total : 23.77% |
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