SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Fylde |
26.14% ( -0.98) | 23.72% ( -0.16) | 50.14% ( 1.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.06% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( -0.06) | 44.32% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( -0.06) | 66.7% ( 0.06) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.38% ( -0.78) | 30.62% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.14% ( -0.93) | 66.86% ( 0.94) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% ( 0.42) | 17.76% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.55% ( 0.72) | 48.45% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Fylde |
| 2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.14% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.28% 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.69% Total : 50.14% |
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