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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
44.59% ( -2.17) | 23.39% ( 0.56) | 32.02% ( 1.61) |
| Both teams to score 62.39% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.9% ( -1.92) | 39.1% ( 1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.57% ( -2.04) | 61.43% ( 2.05) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( -1.58) | 17.9% ( 1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.3% ( -2.8) | 48.7% ( 2.81) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( 0.03) | 24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.75% ( 0.04) | 58.25% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.81% Total : 44.59% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.54)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.02% |
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