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E
National League | Gameweek 14
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Silverlake Stadium
EU

Eastleigh
5 - 2
Ebbsfleet

McCallum (17', 40', 74'), Quigley (52'), Maguire (90+2' pen.)
Atangana (19'), Quigley (38'), McCallum (45+6'), Mahorn (46')
FT(HT: 2-1)
McQueen (7', 89')
Domi (4'), White (21'), Solly (62')
Clifford (90+4')
Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halifax 2-3 Eastleigh
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.

Result
EastleighDrawEbbsfleet
39.98% (0.073 0.07) 24.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 36.01% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Both teams to score 61.29% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.95% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)41.04% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.56% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)63.43% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)20.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)22.69% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (-0.13099999999999 -0.13)56.34% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 39.98%
    Ebbsfleet 36.01%
    Draw 24.01%
EastleighDrawEbbsfleet
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.4% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 39.98%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 36.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Halifax 2-3 Eastleigh
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 1-0 Eastleigh
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 2-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 2-2 Oxford City
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Fylde 1-2 Eastleigh
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 0-6 Gateshead
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-1 Dorking
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 6-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 2-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League


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