SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
32.82% ( 1.12) | 24.79% ( 0.07) | 42.39% ( -1.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% ( 0.08) | 45.4% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( 0.08) | 67.73% ( -0.08) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( 0.75) | 26.55% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.24% ( 0.98) | 61.76% ( -0.98) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( -0.51) | 21.45% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.54% ( -0.79) | 54.47% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 42.39% |
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