Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
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