SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Yeovil Town |
39.38% ( -0.24) | 25.32% ( 0.06) | 35.29% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% ( -0.25) | 47.26% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( -0.23) | 69.49% ( 0.23) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( -0.23) | 23.73% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% ( -0.34) | 57.86% ( 0.33) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( -0.02) | 25.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% ( -0.02) | 60.98% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 35.29% |
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