Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that GAIS would win this match.
Result | ||
GAIS | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
36.85% ( 0.34) | 26.65% ( 0.1) | 36.49% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 52.05% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.06% ( -0.44) | 52.93% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.46% ( -0.38) | 74.54% ( 0.38) |
GAIS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( -0.01) | 27.74% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% ( -0.02) | 63.31% ( 0.01) |
Djurgardens IF Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.04% ( -0.47) | 27.95% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.41% ( -0.61) | 63.58% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
GAIS | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.85% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.49% |
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