Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for GAIS had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest GAIS win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.