SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Djurgardens IF in this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
34.44% ( -0.17) | 25.16% ( 0.01) | 40.4% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.33% ( -0.09) | 46.67% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.06% ( -0.09) | 68.93% ( 0.09) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% ( -0.15) | 26.19% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.72% ( -0.2) | 61.28% ( 0.2) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( 0.04) | 22.95% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.26% ( 0.06) | 56.73% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 34.44% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.4% |
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