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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 18
Aug 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
2 - 1
GAIS

Baidoo (8'), Cardaklija (30' og.)
Qasem (63')
Qasem (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ahl-Holmstrom (14')
Ibrahim (84')
Sims (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rijeka 1-1 Elfsborg
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: GAIS 0-1 Norrkoping
Saturday, August 3 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Elfsborg 2-0 GAIS

While GAIS will be looking to return to winning ways and move level with Elfsborg in the table, their form away from home leaves a lot to be desired. Hiljemark's men have been near impenetrable at the Boras Arena in recent weeks and we are backing them to secure all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for GAIS had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a GAIS win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Elfsborg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Elfsborg.

Result
ElfsborgDrawGAIS
59.36% (0.497 0.5) 21.11% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 19.53% (-0.457 -0.46)
Both teams to score 57.25% (-0.65900000000001 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.98% (-0.502 -0.5)40.02% (0.505 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.61% (-0.523 -0.52)62.38% (0.523 0.52)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)13.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)39.84% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
GAIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.75 -0.75)34.08% (0.751 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-0.816 -0.82)70.76% (0.818 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 59.36%
    GAIS 19.53%
    Draw 21.11%
ElfsborgDrawGAIS
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.204 0.2)
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.205 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.71% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.23% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.38%
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 59.36%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.11%
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rijeka 1-1 Elfsborg
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Sheriff Tiraspol
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 1-2 Djurgarden
Sunday, July 28 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 0-1 Elfsborg
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 3-1 Mjallby AIF
Sunday, July 21 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Pafos 2-5 Elfsborg
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: GAIS 0-1 Norrkoping
Saturday, August 3 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: GAIS 0-1 Norrkoping
Saturday, August 3 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: AIK 0-1 GAIS
Monday, July 29 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: GAIS 2-0 AIK
Monday, July 22 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 3-1 GAIS
Saturday, July 13 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: GAIS 0-0 Hammarby
Sunday, July 7 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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