SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Anderlecht |
44.05% ( -0.51) | 24.74% ( 0.13) | 31.21% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 57.19% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( -0.39) | 45.75% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.93% ( -0.38) | 68.07% ( 0.37) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.39) | 20.84% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.48% ( -0.62) | 53.52% ( 0.61) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( 0.06) | 27.75% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.68% ( 0.07) | 63.32% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.05% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.21% |
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