SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gent in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Anderlecht |
41.86% ( 0.34) | 26.2% ( -0.19) | 31.94% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.24% ( 0.73) | 51.76% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.47% ( 0.63) | 73.52% ( -0.64) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( 0.5) | 24.47% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% ( 0.7) | 58.91% ( -0.7) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( 0.27) | 30.25% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.57% ( 0.32) | 66.42% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.86% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.94% |
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