Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.