SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.57%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.38%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
60.43% ( 0.09) | 26.23% ( 0.13) | 13.34% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 31.97% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.64% ( -0.6) | 67.36% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.49% ( -0.41) | 85.51% ( 0.41) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( -0.23) | 22.85% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( -0.34) | 56.59% ( 0.34) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.44% ( -0.71) | 58.56% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.11% ( -0.39) | 89.9% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 1-0 @ 19.75% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 14.57% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.2% Total : 60.42% | 0-0 @ 13.38% ( 0.3) 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.19% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.43% Total : 13.34% |
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