SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Belgrano in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Belgrano.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
58.99% ( 0.2) | 24.76% ( -0.01) | 16.25% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 40.48% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.72% ( -0.22) | 59.28% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.31% ( -0.17) | 79.69% ( 0.17) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( -0.01) | 20.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% ( -0.02) | 52.3% ( 0.02) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.65% ( -0.39) | 49.34% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.8% ( -0.27) | 84.2% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 1-0 @ 15.9% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.25% Total : 58.99% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.43% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.25% |
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