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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
GN

Greece
1 - 1
Georgia

Kakabadze (76' og.)
Fortounis (59'), Papadopoulos (67'), Giakoumakis (71'), Zeca (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kvaratskhelia (78')
Aburjania (15'), Kiteishvili (63'), Kankava (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
GreeceDrawGeorgia
59.66%23.74%16.6%
Both teams to score 43.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68%55.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47%76.53%
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7%18.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62%49.38%
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49%46.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.89%82.11%
Score Analysis
    Greece 59.66%
    Georgia 16.6%
    Draw 23.73%
GreeceDrawGeorgia
1-0 @ 14.45%
2-0 @ 12.27%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 6.95%
3-1 @ 5.32%
4-0 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.04%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 59.66%
1-1 @ 11.06%
0-0 @ 8.51%
2-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.52%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.08%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 16.6%

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