Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 24.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Georgia win it was 1-0 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.