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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2021 at 5pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
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Georgia
1 - 2
Spain

Kvaratskhelia (44')
Zivzivadze (19')
Shengelia (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Torres (56'), Olmo (90+2')
Llorente (7'), Porro (14')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 24.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Georgia win it was 1-0 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
GeorgiaDrawSpain
24.95%29.38%45.67%
Both teams to score 40.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.21%65.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.56%84.44%
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.5%43.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.29%79.71%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97%29.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07%64.93%
Score Analysis
    Georgia 24.95%
    Spain 45.66%
    Draw 29.38%
GeorgiaDrawSpain
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 5.41%
2-0 @ 4.38%
3-1 @ 1.5%
3-0 @ 1.21%
3-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 24.95%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 12.62%
2-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 29.38%
0-1 @ 15.61%
0-2 @ 9.66%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-3 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.23%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 45.66%

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