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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
GN

Spain
1 - 1
Greece

Morata (33')
Martinez (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bakasetas (57' pen.)
Zeca (81'), Giakoumakis (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Greece had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Greece win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
SpainDrawGreece
57.07%21.49%21.43%
Both teams to score 59.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88%39.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.55%61.45%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45%13.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.36%40.64%
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26%31.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84%68.16%
Score Analysis
    Spain 57.07%
    Greece 21.43%
    Draw 21.49%
SpainDrawGreece
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 6.57%
3-0 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 3.28%
4-0 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.31%
5-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 57.07%
1-1 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 5.66%
0-0 @ 4.3%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 5.66%
0-1 @ 4.94%
0-2 @ 2.83%
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 21.43%

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