SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gyori ETO win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gyori ETO win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gyori ETO would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gyori ETO | Draw | Fehervar |
41.82% ( 0.05) | 25.53% ( -0.01) | 32.65% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.25% ( 0.01) | 48.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.14% ( 0.01) | 70.85% ( -0.01) |
| Gyori ETO Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( 0.03) | 23.16% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% ( 0.04) | 57.04% ( -0.04) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( -0.02) | 28.29% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% ( -0.03) | 64.02% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gyori ETO | Draw | Fehervar |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.82% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.65% |
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