SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puskas Academy win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puskas Academy win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puskas Academy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Puskas Academy | Draw | Fehervar |
46.58% ( 0.11) | 24.82% ( 0.13) | 28.6% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.55% ( -0.71) | 47.46% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( -0.66) | 69.67% ( 0.67) |
| Puskas Academy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( -0.24) | 20.43% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.12% ( -0.39) | 52.88% ( 0.4) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( -0.53) | 30.41% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.4% ( -0.64) | 66.6% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Puskas Academy | Draw | Fehervar |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.58% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 28.6% |
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