SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ujpest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ujpest | Draw | Fehervar |
37.58% ( -0.17) | 25.83% ( 0.1) | 36.59% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% ( -0.42) | 49.4% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( -0.38) | 71.45% ( 0.38) |
| Ujpest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% ( -0.29) | 25.67% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.42% ( -0.4) | 60.58% ( 0.4) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( -0.15) | 26.22% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.67% ( -0.21) | 61.32% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ujpest | Draw | Fehervar |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 36.59% |
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