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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 15
Jul 23, 2023 at 4pm UK
Briskeby Arena

HamKam
3 - 2
Stabaek

Alexander Kirkevold (32'), Lonstad Onsrud (49'), Martin Gammelby (90+4')
Lonstad Onsrud (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bakenga (51'), Jendal (77' og.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarpsborg 2-3 HamKam
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 0-1 Viking FK
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: HamKam 1-0 Stabaek Football

HamKam have come on leaps and bounds in recent weeks, winning their last two games on the spin, and they should be able to defeat a newly-promoted side on home soil. Games involving Stabaek are very rarely high-scoring affairs, with just two goals behind scored in their last three games, so we expect it will be a narrow victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stabaek Football win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stabaek Football win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest HamKam win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that HamKam would win this match.

Result
HamKamDrawStabaek Football
36.6% (0.128 0.13) 26.8% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.6% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.56% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.93% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)75.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)
HamKam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (0.070999999999998 0.07)28.19% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (0.091999999999999 0.09)63.89% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Stabaek Football Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)28.19% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (-0.102 -0.1)63.88% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    HamKam 36.59%
    Stabaek Football 36.6%
    Draw 26.8%
HamKamDrawStabaek Football
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.59%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 10.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.37% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sarpsborg 2-3 HamKam
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 2-1 Aalesund
Friday, July 7 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 HamKam
Sunday, July 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 0-1 Odd
Sunday, June 25 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 HamKam
Sunday, June 11 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 4-0 HamKam
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 0-1 Viking FK
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 0-0 Stabaek
Sunday, July 9 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 0-1 Stromsgodset
Monday, July 3 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 2-1 Stabaek
Sunday, June 25 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 2-2 Rosenborg
Sunday, June 11 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-1 Stabaek
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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