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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 9
Jun 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Arasen Stadion

Lillestrom
3 - 1
Stabaek

Adams (13', 86' pen., 90+2')
Christiansen (18')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bakenga (21' pen.)
Skovgaard (28')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Stabaek Football.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: HamKam 0-0 Lillestrom
Monday, May 29 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 2-1 Valerenga
Monday, May 29 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 55.01%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 22.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
LillestromDrawStabaek Football
55.01% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 22.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.12% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)42.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.27% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)64.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)15.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)44% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Stabaek Football Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)32.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)69.09% (0.038999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 55.01%
    Stabaek Football 22.5%
    Draw 22.47%
LillestromDrawStabaek Football
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.78% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 55.01%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.47%
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 22.5%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: HamKam 0-0 Lillestrom
Monday, May 29 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-2 Sarpsborg
Tuesday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Odd 0-1 Lillestrom
Friday, May 12 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, May 7 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 3-4 Lillestrom
Monday, May 1 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 2-1 Molde
Sunday, April 23 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 2-1 Valerenga
Monday, May 29 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 4-1 Stabaek
Tuesday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 1-0 Aalesund
Saturday, May 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 1-1 Sarpsborg
Sunday, May 7 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 2-3 Stabaek
Sunday, April 30 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 3-0 Haugesund
Sunday, April 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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