Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 55.01%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 22.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
Result | ||
Lillestrom | Draw | Stabaek Football |
55.01% ( 0.04) | 22.47% ( -0.01) | 22.5% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.12% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.67% ( -0.01) | 42.31% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.27% ( -0.01) | 64.72% ( 0.01) |
Lillestrom Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.7% ( 0.01) | 15.29% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.99% ( 0.02) | 44% ( -0.02) |
Stabaek Football Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% ( -0.04) | 32.56% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( -0.05) | 69.09% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Lillestrom | Draw | Stabaek Football |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 55.01% | 1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.5% |
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