Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for an Ashdod win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva in this match.
Result | ||
Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Ashdod |
65.1% ( -0.02) | 21.23% ( 0) | 13.67% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.26% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.11% ( -0.01) | 50.89% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.23% ( -0.01) | 72.77% ( 0) |
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.1% ( -0.01) | 14.9% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.74% ( -0.02) | 43.26% ( 0.01) |
Ashdod Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.01% ( 0.01) | 47.99% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.77% ( 0.01) | 83.22% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Ashdod |
1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.22% 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.11% Total : 65.09% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.23% | 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 13.67% |
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