Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ashdod win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ashdod would win this match.
Result | ||
Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Ashdod |
32.59% ( -0.06) | 28.17% ( 0.11) | 39.24% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.9% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.82% ( -0.39) | 59.18% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.39% ( -0.3) | 79.61% ( 0.3) |
Hapoel Hadera Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% ( -0.24) | 33.6% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.75% ( -0.27) | 70.25% ( 0.27) |
Ashdod Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.64% ( -0.22) | 29.36% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.65% ( -0.26) | 65.34% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Ashdod |
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.59% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 39.23% |
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