SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Haifa win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Haifa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Haifa | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
40.93% ( -0.33) | 27.3% ( 0.16) | 31.77% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.19% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.81% ( -0.57) | 56.18% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.76% ( -0.46) | 77.24% ( 0.46) |
| Hapoel Haifa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( -0.44) | 26.98% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.67% ( -0.58) | 62.32% ( 0.58) |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.37% ( -0.18) | 32.63% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.83% ( -0.2) | 69.17% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Haifa | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.92% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.77% |
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