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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Jerusalem would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
36.53% ( 0.11) | 28.07% ( 0.18) | 35.4% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.49% ( -0.7) | 58.5% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.91% ( -0.55) | 79.08% ( 0.54) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( -0.28) | 30.65% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% ( -0.33) | 66.9% ( 0.33) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% ( -0.54) | 31.37% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% ( -0.63) | 67.74% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.53% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.06% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.39% |
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