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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
20.03% ( -0.45) | 24.41% ( -0.06) | 55.55% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 47.55% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.69% ( -0.29) | 53.31% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.14% ( -0.25) | 74.86% ( 0.25) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.76% ( -0.66) | 41.23% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.23% ( -0.59) | 77.76% ( 0.58) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% ( 0.09) | 19.09% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.3% ( 0.14) | 50.7% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
| 1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.03% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( 0.18)1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.55% |
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