SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Hapoel Katamon had a probability of 12.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.12%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Hapoel Katamon win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Katamon | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
12.44% ( -0.98) | 20.03% ( -0.75) | 67.52% ( 1.73) |
| Both teams to score 44.47% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% ( 0.9) | 48.71% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% ( 0.81) | 70.82% ( -0.81) |
| Hapoel Katamon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.38% ( -1.03) | 48.61% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.32% ( -0.75) | 83.68% ( 0.75) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( 0.81) | 13.46% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.54% ( 1.59) | 40.45% ( -1.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Katamon | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 1-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.61% Total : 12.44% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.03% | 0-2 @ 13.15% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.1)1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 8.8% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 4.41% ( 0.34)1-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.77% ( 0.19)1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 67.51% |
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