SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 68.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
68.92% ( 0.15) | 18.23% ( -0.06) | 12.85% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.23% ( 0.11) | 39.77% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.88% ( 0.11) | 62.12% ( -0.11) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.52% ( 0.07) | 10.48% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.88% ( 0.15) | 34.12% ( -0.15) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.71% ( -0.05) | 42.29% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.32% ( -0.05) | 78.68% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 2-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.35% Total : 68.91% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.23% | 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 12.85% |
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