SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for LASK Linz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartberg | Draw | LASK Linz |
24.75% ( -0.71) | 23.44% ( -0.34) | 51.81% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.6% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% ( 0.89) | 44.29% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( 0.86) | 66.66% ( -0.85) |
| Hartberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% ( -0.1) | 31.71% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.87% ( -0.11) | 68.13% ( 0.12) |
| LASK Linz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.88% ( 0.73) | 17.12% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.67% ( 1.27) | 47.34% ( -1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartberg | Draw | LASK Linz |
| 2-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.69% Total : 24.75% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.71% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.81% |
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