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Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
May 5, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
1 - 1
Hartberg

Kiteishvili (58')
Gorenc Stankovic (27'), Jatta (57'), Biereth (62'), Jatta (65')
Gorenc Stankovic (9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Entrup (17')
Kainz (33'), Entrup (56')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Hartberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 2-2 Sturm Graz
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 3-2 Austria Klagenfurt
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawHartberg
50.73% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 23.91% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.35% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.16% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)45.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)68.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.05% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Hartberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.94% (-0.012 -0.01)32.06% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.47% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)68.53% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 50.73%
    Hartberg 25.35%
    Draw 23.91%
Sturm GrazDrawHartberg
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 50.73%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.6%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 25.35%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Salzburg 2-2 Sturm Graz
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-3 Sturm Graz
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Rapid Vienna
Friday, April 19 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 1-3 Sturm Graz
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 LASK
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-1 Salzburg
Sunday, March 31 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 3-2 Austria Klagenfurt
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 1-2 LASK
Wednesday, April 24 at 5.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: LASK 1-3 Hartberg
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 1-3 Sturm Graz
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Klagenfurt 2-2 Hartberg
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 0-3 Rapid Vienna
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga


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