SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Gaziantep |
48.84% ( 0.74) | 24.89% ( -0.06) | 26.27% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.73% ( -0.25) | 49.27% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.68% ( -0.22) | 71.32% ( 0.22) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.8% ( 0.21) | 20.2% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.49% ( 0.33) | 52.51% ( -0.33) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.86% ( -0.67) | 33.14% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.26% ( -0.75) | 69.74% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.76% Total : 48.84% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.44% Total : 26.27% |
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